Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.059144 0.069811 0.081753 0.096102 0.112861 0.131805 0.154833
2025-06-08 0.041773 0.055251 0.072032 0.094408 0.123407 0.159662 0.208374
2025-06-15 0.033160 0.047912 0.067855 0.096662 0.137076 0.191609 0.270618
2025-06-22 0.026495 0.041226 0.062552 0.095476 0.144792 0.215639 0.324809
2025-06-29 0.021443 0.035607 0.057380 0.093001 0.149472 0.235106 0.374241
2025-07-06 0.017547 0.030903 0.052580 0.089939 0.152256 0.251422 0.420313
2025-07-13 0.015441 0.028675 0.051222 0.091935 0.162994 0.281014 0.490574
2025-07-20 0.013515 0.026376 0.049306 0.092549 0.171267 0.307290 0.558288
2025-07-27 0.011946 0.024427 0.047651 0.093263 0.179614 0.334421 0.630454
2025-08-03 0.010714 0.022897 0.046490 0.094633 0.189184 0.364614 0.711415
2025-08-10 0.009841 0.021922 0.046218 0.097598 0.202027 0.402090 0.809991
2025-08-17 0.008462 0.019655 0.043034 0.094283 0.202084 0.415312 0.863638
2025-08-24 0.007535 0.018234 0.041428 0.094086 0.208618 0.442304 0.948526
2025-08-31 0.006638 0.016731 0.039428 0.092766 0.212655 0.464828 1.027276
2025-09-07 0.006125 0.016035 0.039094 0.095054 0.224728 0.505270 1.148087
2025-09-14 0.005446 0.014813 0.037370 0.093902 0.228954 0.529450 1.236718
2025-09-21 0.004782 0.013507 0.035242 0.091469 0.229875 0.546429 1.311317
2025-09-28 0.004176 0.012242 0.033016 0.088457 0.228986 0.559157 1.377642
2025-10-05 0.003889 0.011796 0.032789 0.090421 0.240442 0.601601 1.517876
2025-10-12 0.003570 0.011200 0.032077 0.091026 0.248567 0.637065 1.645466
2025-10-19 0.003287 0.010661 0.031438 0.091728 0.257027 0.674270 1.781480
2025-10-26 0.003057 0.010238 0.031055 0.093077 0.267364 0.717265 1.936743
2025-11-02 0.002902 0.010020 0.031222 0.095994 0.282313 0.773591 2.132215